The Lead: Liquidity, Japan, and the $65k Line
The AM edition declared the death of the "Polite Fiction" in geopolitics. By PM, the financial markets are sending the exact same signal. The comforting idea that we can print our way to infinite stability without consequence is hitting a hard wall—specifically, a wall in Japan.
Jack Mallers (@jackmallers) is connecting the dots that most traditional finance outlets are ignoring. It isn't just about Bitcoin's price action; it's about a structural break in global liquidity. "Japan’s markets are flashing red while AI is accelerating disruption," he warns. The combination of sovereign debt spirals and the deflationary shock of AI is creating a "liquidity stress" event that the polite consensus isn't ready for.
Japan’s markets are flashing red while AI is accelerating disruption. Sovereign debt + deflationary shock = liquidity stress. Is that what Bitcoin's dip is telling us? — Jack Mallers (@jackmallers) View Source
While the macro hurricane gathers off the coast of Japan, the on-chain reality for Bitcoin is digging in for a siege. Glassnode (@glassnode) reports that the $65k level isn't just a number—it's a fortress built by Long-Term Holders (LTH) during the first half of 2024. This is where the "smart money" has drawn its line.
The recent support above $65k is anchored in the 2024 H1 accumulation range. This demand zone has absorbed recent sell pressure. A decisive break would likely open the path toward Realized Price (~$54k). — glassnode (@glassnode) View Source
So What?
The "Polite Fiction" in markets was that central banks had everything under control. The reality is that the collision of AI (deflationary tech) and Sovereign Debt (inflationary fiat) is squeezing the system. Bitcoin is the liquidity alarm system. If $65k holds, the fortress remains intact. If it breaks, we aren't just looking at a dip—we're looking at a repricing of reality itself.
Feature Stories
1. The Model Extraction Wars
The "Open" AI era is officially closing. Google revealed that Gemini was hit by a massive "model extraction" attack—a sophisticated attempt to clone its proprietary logic by bombarding it with over 100,000 prompts. This wasn't a script kiddie; this was a "commercially motivated" actor. The polite agreement that we wouldn't try to steal each other's digital brains has evaporated. As Pierre Rochard (@BitcoinPierre) notes in a parallel thread, the intersection of value and code is becoming a battlefield, with accusations of "scamming" flying between the Crypto and AI camps.
Google has revealed that "commercially motivated" actors attempted to clone @GeminiApp by bombarding it with over 100,000 prompts. — Mark Kretschmann (@mark_k) View Source
2. The Ad Blockade
The "Free Internet" was built on a simple contract: you get content, we show you ads. That contract is being torn up. YouTube is escalating its crackdown on ad blockers, bricking comments and descriptions for users who refuse to watch spots. Autism Capital (@AutismCapital) argues that Premium is the "GOATed subscription," but the pushback is fierce. The friction-free web is gone; you now pay with your wallet or your retinas.
Periodic reminder that YouTube Premium is a GOATed subscription and we have no idea why anybody would not want to pay it. — Autism Capital 🧩 (@AutismCapital) View Source
3. The Creative Pivot
While the market worries about liquidity, the tools of creation are making another quantum leap. Udi Wertheimer (@udiWertheimer) is sounding the alarm on seedance2, a new AI video tool. His message to NFT projects is blunt: adapt or die. The ability to generate high-fidelity original IP instantly is a "huge game changer." The static JPEG era is over; the generative video era is here, and it waits for no one.
btw every nft project should be fighting tooth and nail to gain access to seedance2 right now... you guys have no idea how powerful this thing is — Udi Wertheimer (@udiWertheimer) View Source
4. Sponsored Reality
If you needed proof that everything is becoming a transaction, look no further than the "Best Man" speech. Signüll (@signulll) satirizes the modern condition where even our most intimate moments feel like they need a sponsor reading. "Shoutout to Grammarly & Claude for helping me write this." It’s funny because it’s barely satire. In a world where attention is the only currency, every speech is a pitch deck.
if i were giving a best man’s speech this year, i’d make sure to get a sponsor... “joe, words can’t describe how much i love you bro so shoutout to grammarly & claude for helping me write this." — signüll (@signulll) View Source
5. Biological Truths
Amidst the digital noise, a moment of clarity on human nature. Sivori (@sivori) provides a touching, almost radical reflection on the different textures of love—the pure, motive-free adoration of a daughter versus the complex, co-equal partnership of a wife. In an age of "Two Genders" diplomatic incidents (see AM edition), this is a reminder of the deep, biological distinctiveness that underpins human experience.
The thing I love about my daughters is they have given me an experience of love that is so sweet and so pure... With my wife, my feelings compete with one another... We are coequals and counterparts. — Sivori (@sivori) View Source
6. The Growth vs. Doom Divergence
Who is lying to you? Sentix surveys suggest global growth is about to "pick up big time" after three years of stasis. Meanwhile, ZeroHedge reminds us that our personal data is floating on an ever-expanding Darknet. The disconnect between "The Economy" (Lines go up) and "The Experience" (Privacy is dead, risks are high) has never been wider.
Sentix surveys suggest global growth is about to pick up big time after three years of stasis. — zerohedge (@zerohedge) View Source
Timeline Pulse
- CryptoVizArt: LTH Cost Basis Distribution shows dense supply at $65k. @glassnode
- JackMallers: Japan + AI + Debt = Liquidity Shock. @jackmallers
- Eliezer Yudkowsky: Taxing revenue vs profit is "dumb" tax law. @allTheYud
- Autism Capital: Tyson v. Mayweather "leaked footage" (it's chaos). @AutismCapital
- ZeroHedge: Darknet data leaks are growing. Your data is gone. @zerohedge
- Bit Paine: Bitcoin correlates with assets because investors get liquidated, not because they are the same. @BitPaine
- Pierre Rochard: "Crypto has added zero value to AI." @BitcoinPierre
- Kelsey Piper: "Crime is desperation" theory works in Brazil, fails in US. @KelseyTuoc
- Pliny the Liberator: Google confirms "Model Extraction" attacks on Gemini. @elder_plinius
- Crémieux: New drugs for Lp(a) lowering could save thousands. @cremieuxrecueil
- Fejau: "Few." (Reaction to S&P500 down 90% in RAM terms). @fejau_inc
- Wanye: Immigration should be like jury selection (strikes allowed). @xwanyex
- Alex Gedevani:
seedance2is an NFT project's dream. @alexgedevani - Jim Babcock: Taxing revenue prevents specialization (vertical integration trap). @jimrandomh
- Pirat_Nation: YouTube comment sections "turned off" for ad-block users. @Pirat_Nation
- The Fi Pro: Recent $60k dip accumulation was weak ($340M vs $1.2B). @thefipro
- Larry Panozzo: "Someone forgot to space their 100,000 prompts." @LarryPanozzo
- Julia Turc: "Black Mirror s7e1, enjoy." @juliarturc
- CryptoSaiyanX: "Your data is a product." @CryptoSaiyanPro
- Aly Dee: "You don’t really appreciate how different men and women are until you have a son and a daughter." @realfemsapien